Drought frequency analysis and prediction in Sonora, Mexico

Document Type

Conference Proceeding

Publication Date

12-1-2005

Abstract

Sonora is located in northwestern Mexico, an arid region which has suffered from drought for the last nine years. Using available precipitation data, we conduct a drought frequency analysis and investigate teleconnections with recurrent atmospheric anomalies such as El Niño/Southern Oscillation and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation. Upon completion of these analyses, we will investigate how drought intensity-duration-frequency estimates and seasonal drought forecasts can be useful to farmers and other water managers in Sonora. Copyright ASCE 2005.

Publication Title

World Water Congress 2005: Impacts of Global Climate Change - Proceedings of the 2005 World Water and Environmental Resources Congress

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