Mid-Atlantic forest ecosystem vulnerability assessment and synthesis: a report from the Mid-Atlantic Climate Change Response Framework project

Authors

Patricia Leopold, Michigan Technological UniversityFollow
Louis Iverson
Frank R. Thompson III
Leslie A. Brandt
Stephen D. Handler
Danielle Shannon, Michigan Technological UniversityFollow
Matt Kelly, Michigan Technological UniversityFollow
et. al.

Document Type

Technical Report

Publication Date

10-2018

Abstract

Forest ecosystems will be affected directly and indirectly by a changing climate over the 21st century. This assessment evaluates the vulnerability of 11 forest ecosystems in the Mid-Atlantic region (Pennsylvania, New Jersey, Delaware, eastern Maryland, and southern New York) under a range of future climates. We synthesized and summarized information on the contemporary landscape, provided information on past climate trends, and described a range of projected future climates. This information was used to parameterize and run multiple forest impact models, which provided a range of potential tree responses to climate. Finally, we brought these results before two multidisciplinary panels of scientists and land managers familiar with the forests of this region to assess ecosystem vulnerability through a formal consensus-based expert elicitation process.

Publisher's Statement

Northern Research Station, General Technical Report NRS-181

Published by the United States Department of Agriculture. Article deposited here in compliance with publisher policies. Publisher's version of record: https://doi.org/10.2737/NRS-GTR-181

Recommended Citation

Leopold, P., Iverson, L., Thompson, F. R., Brandt, L. A., Handler, S. D., Shannon, D., Kelly, M., & et. al. (2018). Mid-Atlantic forest ecosystem vulnerability assessment and synthesis: a report from the Mid-Atlantic Climate Change Response Framework project. http://doi.org/10.2737/NRS-GTR-181
Retrieved from: https://digitalcommons.mtu.edu/forestry-fp/65

Version

Publisher's PDF