Document Type
Article
Publication Date
5-24-2021
Department
Department of Geological and Mining Engineering and Sciences; Department of Civil, Environmental, and Geospatial Engineering
Abstract
Mercury is a potent neurotoxin that poses health risks to the global population. Anthropogenic mercury emissions to the atmosphere are projected to decrease in the future due to enhanced policy efforts such as the Minamata Convention, a legally-binding international treaty entered into force in 2017. Here, we report the development of a comprehensive climate-atmosphere-land-ocean-ecosystem and exposure-risk model framework for mercury and its application to project the health effects of future atmospheric emissions. Our results show that the accumulated health effects associated with mercury exposure during 2010–2050 are $19 (95% confidence interval: 4.7–54) trillion (2020 USD) realized to 2050 (3% discount rate) for the current policy scenario. Our results suggest a substantial increase in global human health cost if emission reduction actions are delayed. This comprehensive modeling approach provides a much-needed tool to help parties to evaluate the effectiveness of Hg emission controls as required by the Minamata Convention.
Publication Title
Nature Communications
Recommended Citation
Zhang, Y.,
Song, Z.,
Huang, S.,
Zhang, P.,
Peng, Y.,
Wu, P.,
Gu, J.,
Dutkiewicz, S.,
Zhang, H.,
Wu, S.,
Wang, F.,
Chen, L.,
Wang, S.,
&
Li, P.
(2021).
Global health effects of future atmospheric mercury emissions.
Nature Communications,
12(1).
http://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-23391-7
Retrieved from: https://digitalcommons.mtu.edu/michigantech-p/14978
Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
Version
Publisher's PDF
Included in
Civil and Environmental Engineering Commons, Geological Engineering Commons, Mining Engineering Commons
Publisher's Statement
© The Author(s) 2021. Publisher’s version of record: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-23391-7