Probabilistic-based assessment of the impacts of climate change on hurricane loss and adaptation strategies

Document Type

Conference Proceeding

Publication Date

1-1-2011

Abstract

This paper presents a risk-cost-benefit based framework to assess the potential hurricane damage risks to residential construction and investigate the cost-effectiveness of different adaptation strategies under various wind speed change scenarios due to climate change. It is estimated that hurricanes caused $6 billion annually in the US in recent years. Changes in hurricane intensity or/and frequency may be expected due to the changing climate. This paper proposes a framework to refine hurricane risk assessment by accounting for the impacts the changing climate may have on hurricane intensity and/or frequency. Various adaptation strategies will be developed in an attempt to mitigate damage costs. Three case study locations (Miami-Dade County, New Hanover County, Galveston County) are presented. This study finds that climate change may have a substantial impact on damage estimation in coastal areas, and that certain adaptation strategies can cost-effectively decrease the damage © 2011 Taylor & Francis Group, London.

Publication Title

Applications of Statistics and Probability in Civil Engineering -Proceedings of the 11th International Conference on Applications of Statistics and Probability in Civil Engineering

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